@article {1819, title = {Long-term HIV/AIDS survival estimation in the highly active antiretroviral therapy era.}, journal = {Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making}, volume = {23}, year = {2003}, month = {2003 Jan-Feb}, pages = {9-20}, abstract = {Highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) prolongs short-term survival in patients with HIV/AIDS. HAART has only been available since 1996; thus, no long-term survival data are available. Computer simulation models extrapolating short-term survival data can provide estimates of long-term survival. These survival estimates may assist patients and clinicians in HAART treatment planning. The authors construct a computer simulation model based on observational data to estimate long-term survival in a cohort of HIV/AIDS patients undergoing treatment with HAART.}, keywords = {Adult, Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active, Computer Simulation, Decision Support Techniques, Female, HIV Infections, Humans, Male, Markov Chains, Monte Carlo Method, Sensitivity and Specificity, Survival Analysis, Survival Rate, Treatment Failure, United States}, issn = {0272-989X}, author = {King, Joseph T and Justice, Amy C and Roberts, Mark S and Chang, Chung-Chou H and Fusco, Jennifer S} }