Yale University

Meta-regression of hepatitis C virus infection in relation to time since onset of illicit drug injection: the influence of time and place.

TitleMeta-regression of hepatitis C virus infection in relation to time since onset of illicit drug injection: the influence of time and place.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2008
AuthorsHagan, Holly, Enrique R. Pouget, Don C. Des Jarlais, and Corina Lelutiu-Weinberger
JournalAmerican journal of epidemiology
Volume168
Issue10
Pagination1099-109
Date Published2008 Nov 15
ISSN1476-6256
KeywordsConfidence Intervals, Female, Hepatitis C, Humans, Male, Multicenter Studies as Topic, Prevalence, Substance Abuse, Intravenous, Time Factors
AbstractThe authors examined the relation between time since onset of illicit drug injection (time at risk) and rates of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection by using meta-regression. In 72 prevalence studies, median time since onset of injection was 7.24 years and median prevalence was 66.02%. The model showed statistically significant linear and quadratic effects of time at risk on HCV prevalence and significantly higher prevalence in developing and transitional countries and in earlier samples (1985-1995). In developed countries post-1995, mean fitted prevalence was 32.02% (95% confidence interval: 25.31, 39.58) at 1 year of injection and 53.01% (95% confidence interval: 40.69, 65.09) at 5 years. In developing/transitional countries post-1995, mean fitted HCV prevalence was 59.13% (95% confidence interval: 30.39, 82.74) at 1 year of injection. In 10 incidence studies, median time at risk was 5.29 years and median cumulative HCV incidence was 20.69%. Mean fitted cumulative incidence was 27.63% (95% confidence interval: 16.92, 41.70) at 1 year of drug injection. The authors concluded that time to HCV infection in developed countries has lengthened. More rapid onset of HCV infection in drug injectors in developing/transitional countries resembles an earlier era of the HCV epidemic in other regions.
DOI10.1086/528859
Alternate JournalAm. J. Epidemiol.

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